How would you explain that, although the efficient market hypothesis applies to the stock market, you can’t successfully invest by randomly selecting stocks?
- The hypothesis fails to fully explain the real market environment.
- The hypothesis fails to consider these monopolies, which dominate certain segments of the market.
- Random selection of stocks would ignore an individual investor’s goals.
- New theories are needed to explain stock price behavior in the new economy
- 25 percent
- 75 percent
- 31.8 percent
- 95.3 percent
- HPR fails to consider the discounted value of the purchase price.
- future value formula incorporates the timing of cash flows.
- HPR overstates the internal rate of return in direct proportion to the discount rate.
- future value formula incorporates cash payments that are omitted in the HPR.
- Dividend growth increases the total return earned on equity investments.
- Projected dividend growth can be incorporated into calculation of the discounted value of cash flows.
- Stocks with rising dividends generally outperform stocks that don’t pay dividends or that pay relatively static dividends.
- Rising dividends, plotted as a function of time, appear as an exponential function with a positive slope.
- Dilution will effect a 5 percent decline in price per share. That will be offset by the 2 percent (annualized) dividend for a net decline of 3 percent in the stock price.
- The 5 percent stock dividend is equivalent to 1-for-20 stock split. Stock prices generally rise after stocks split, so the 5 percent dilution effect will be reduced to either a price rise or a decline that’s smaller than 5 percent.
- The stock price will drop about 5 percent if all other factors remain constant.
- The discounted value of the stock split and will render a price decline smaller than 5 percent.
- The Dow Theory has a long history of successful use and has earned respect in non-academic circles.
- Traders of odd lots tend to be smaller, less sophisticated investors who reliably make the wrong investment decisions.
- Emotions lead to irrational investment decisions that can be overcome by applying a strict set of technical methods.
- Several technical methods capitalize on empirical data supporting the contention that security prices move in the same direction.
- Security selection can be a complex process that’s aided by Internet financial information services.
- Security selection is most efficiently practiced by applying both technical and fundamental analysis.
- Security selection requires only the use of accounting ratios.
- Security selection simplifies investment decisions.
- Inflation exerts broad influence on factors that underlie the economy.
- Inflation generally increases stock prices at a faster rate than other prices.
- Inflation generally increases stock prices prices because cash inflows increase.
- High inflation corresponds with high interest rates and low bond values.
- When inflation rates are high and have a broad negative impact on business in general.
- In industries where business levels significantly change in certain seasons or in relation to the business cycle.
- During recessions when business levels are suppressed across most industries.
- During the rapid growth stage of an economy.
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